2006 New York - 26
| pollster | date | spread |
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Poll Data
| pollster | date | Davis (D) | Reynolds (R) * | spread |
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2024 Post-Election Polling Analysis
Why Many Were Correct in Thinking Trump Would Run Away With Electoral College Ken Bensinger & Kaleigh Rogers, New York Times
How America’s Accurate Election Polls Were Suppressed in Front of the Election Matt Taibbi, Racket News
What is Behind the Simmering Information War on Polling Salena Zito, Washington Examiner
Race Analysis
(October 21) Reynolds looks to have stabilized his situation a little, but Foley has placed this race fully in play. The GOP appears to be running better in House races everywhere in the Northeast (CT and NH), except upstate New York. Republicans are going to lose seats in New York, Reynolds is hoping they keep it contained to Sherwood Boehlert’s open seat in New York 24, because if there is another one to go down he is next in line.
(October 10) We don’t buy Zogby’s poll giving businessman and former Republican Jack Davis a fifteen point lead, but there is no question that NRCC Chair Tom Reynolds is in serious trouble in a race both he and the GOP did not think would be this close. Davis gave Reynolds a tougher than expected race in 2004 and won 44% of the vote spending nearly 1.25 million of his own money. The Foley scandal and Reynolds involvement in it may be just enough combined with the general anti-GOP tilt in the overall election to knock Davis off. If so it would be one of the biggest upsets election night. This race is a clear toss-up today.
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The Takeaway
A special edition RCP newsletter that keeps you in the know on all the latest polls this election season.
