2014 Illinois 11th District - Senger vs. Foster
| pollster | date | Foster (D) * | Senger (R) | spread |
|---|
Final Results: Foster +6.4
RCP Ranking: Toss Up
2014 Key Races: Governor | Senate | IL-8 | IL-10 | IL-12 | IL-13 | IL-17
----------PAST KEY RACES----------
2012: President | IL-8 | IL-10 | IL-11 | IL-12 | IL-13 | IL-17
2010: Gov | Sen | IL-8 | IL-10 | IL-11 | IL-14 | IL-17
2008: President | IL-10 | IL-11
2006: Governor | IL-6 | IL-8
2004: President | Senate
The suburbs of Chicago have historically been fertile territory for moderate Republicans. So in the post-2010 redistricting, Democrats tried something different: They turned the 11th district into a winding collection of precincts joining together Democratic portions of Joliet, Bolingbrook, and Aurora.
The resulting district was too strongly Democratic for Republican Judy Biggert to win re-election, and Bill Foster – who had won a special election to replace Denny Hastert in a neighboring district in 2008 – won the seat handily.
This D+8 district shouldn’t be competitive (although Barack Obama’s popularity in Illinois probably inflates the district’s apparent partisan tilt). But we can’t ignore polling showing Foster with only a modest lead over state Rep. Darlene Senger. In a huge wave, this could flip, but it isn’t clear we’re heading that way right now.
