2006 Ohio Senate Race
pollster | date | Brown (D) | DeWine (R) * | spread |
---|
Senate
2000: DeWine 60, Celeste 36
1994: DeWine 53, Hyatt 39
President
2004: Bush 51, Kerry 49
2000: Bush 50, Gore 46
1996: Clinton 47, Dole 40
------------------------------------------
Occupation: Blue Collar 27.8% | White Collar 57.3% | Gray Collar 14.9%
Race: White 84.0% | Black 11.4% | Hisapnic 1.9% | Asian 1.2%
------------------------------------------
Analysis
(October 17) It had been our opinion that Sherrod Brown's very liberal record in the Ohio congressional delegation would provide enough fodder for DeWine to keep this race close and coupled with the Republican GOTV make this race a toss up on election day. It may get back there, but it looks like the Republican Party's implosion in Ohio is just becoming too much for DeWine to overcome. Today's Quinnipiac poll shows DeWine moving from essentially tied in mid-September (Brown 45% - DeWine 44%) to down a sizable 12-points. Granted this is only one poll, and a Rasmussen Reports survey taken over the same time gives Brown only a 6-point lead. But with the RCP Average now at Brown +6.8%, and climbing, and with Strickland headed for a huge win in the governor's race, Sherrod Brown has to be considered the favorite.
pollster | date | Brown (D) | DeWine (R) * | spread |
---|