New York Mayoral Race Is Mamdani’s To Lose

By RCPollingby RCPolling
Published On: Last updated 09/02/2025, 07:39 PM EDT
Mamdani Leading NY Mayor Race

New York Mayoral Race Is Mamdani’s To Lose

Jonathan Draeger

In an upset on June 24, Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani won the New York mayoral Democratic primary, making him the favorite to be the next New York mayor in the Nov. 4 election. While polls show him as a strong favorite, certain other candidates would still have a path to the mayorship if rivals were to leave the race. Here’s the breakdown.

Latest Polls

Direction of the Country
In early June, the RealClearPolitics average reached a 15-year high, with 44% of Americans saying the United States was headed in the right direction. Since then, optimism has slipped slightly; the latest average shows 40.3% saying the country is on the right track, while 53.9% say it is headed in the wrong direction.

2025-09-02T00:00:00.000Z
Every Week
The Takeaway
A special edition RCP newsletter that keeps you in the know on all the latest polls this election season.

State of Union

.